GOOD HANDICAPPERS LEARN TO HANDICAP OUT SIDE OF THE BOX.
MAIDEN RACES 9/5 MORNING ODDS WIN 55% ... IN THE MONEY 75%
ELIMINATE SPRINT GOING TO 1 1/16 mi OR GREATER UNLESS, I HAVE RANKED THE
HORSE AS ONE OF THE TOP TWO, OR THE HORSE WAS THE ONLY HORSE WHO RAN A SPRINT
THE LAST TIME OUT.
ELIMINATE IF HORSE DID NOT FINISH AT LEAST 5th LAST THREE TIMES OUT. KEEP
THE HORSE IF RAN UP FRONT ANY PLACE IN HIS PAST PERFOMANCE CHART. KEEP THE
HORSE IF ODDS ARE LESS THIS TIME COMPARED TO LAST RACE CLOSING ODDS.
ELIMINATE HORSE IF LENGTHS BEHIND ALL TRIP CALLS LAST RACE WAS 9 OR WORSE.
IF HORSE'S LAST ODDS WERE 10-1 OR WORSE LAST TIME OUT AND NOW DROPPING IN
CLASS, PLUS RAN UP-FRONT ANY PLACE IN HIS PAST PERFORMANCE CHART, THEN KEEP
THIS HORSE FOR A POSSIBLE LONG SHOT.
ELIMINATE ALL HORSES 20-1 ON THE OFFICIAL TRACK PROGRAM. KEEP THE HORSE IF
UNDER 20-1 ON THE TRACK'S PROGRAM AND MOVED PAST 20-1.
Watch for hot jockeys or trainers who are doing particularly well. A hot jockey
sometimes will get the choice of top mounts, and a rider usually will go with
the horse most likely to win. Check the standings in the Official Program.
Notice how jockeys and trainers pair up. Some trainers will invariably use a
certain jockey when they have promising runners. Look for the favorite jockey
IN THE RACE NOT AT THE TRACK.
Professional handicappers often will seek out the race in which a horse is far
superior to his or her competitors then they will bet that horse, this is a way
to telling you not to bet on every races. Choose a race type or distance you
are good at Claiming, Allowance etc. What I am saying is handicappers who do
make a living at the track do not bet every race and ether should you.
Speed ratings can be a good guide to the potential mismatch. Read the comments
at the end of the past performance lines. They sometimes will indicate when a
horse ran into many problems during the course of a race but nonetheless closed
with a flourish.
Figure out how the track is playing. Veteran handicappers will often watch the
early races to see if a pattern is developing in the races. In the first races,
they may notice that front runners are winning the sprint races, my E TAG and
stretch runners are prevailing in the longer races, This would be my L TAG.
Check the workouts. Although too much attention can be given to the workouts, a
very fast workout may indicate that a horse is coming to FORM, this is my ^
TAG and a slow workout can be a precursor of trouble. "Bullet or my ^ TAG"
works are the fastest at a specific distance on a given day Note: MY PAR FIG.
Look for equipment changes. Adding blinkers to a horse's equipment can help.
I am not too big on this myself but others think it is wise to check this out,
keep in mind however I am not at the track you are, my picks are good but you
can make them better by seeing what's going on etc. and choose the best horse
from my picks based on what you have seen and your personal understanding of
your favorite track, or may be I handicapped a horse you are watching for.
Keep in mind the the best Trainer, Jockey, Horse often do not win. You need to
watch out for the back door horse and that is where I come in to help you find
Barn changes should be considered. A claimer moving from a modest stable to a
successful one will be worth consideration. Horses often will respond to the
change in surroundings, and other factors - such as a change in feeding or in
horse-shoeing - may result in a rapid turnaround.
Give preference to winners. Choose a horse that has won before.
Avoid betting on a horse that has just moved up in class.
Look for value odds as much as likely winners. If you keep looking for them,
you will learn to spot them fairly quickly.
Look for a horse that has a fair chance of winning and is not overly backed.
This is usually a good value bet in the long run. On odds of say, 9/1, you need
to win once in nine attempts to break even. Anything more is net profit.
When the track is slow or heavy, give preference to fast starters. Slow, muddy
and heavy track conditions usually favor the horse that takes an early lead.
A straight bet is simple, manageable and not too difficult to win. Play it but
always weigh up the odds. Avoid favorites and long shots (shippers) too.
Be selective - don't bet on anything or everything.
When betting straight, Always cover your bet, Example: $5.00 Win $15.00 Show
if the odds are high enough to break even if horse shows or play Win / Place,
Place / Show getting back something is better then nothing.
If you are going to use my picks, I do pick allot of Win / Place horses. Check
out my results of any month.
If a horse is heavily backed just a few minutes before the start of the race
and his odds are sharply reduced, bet on it. This is a strong indication that
somebody has reliable favorable information about the horse that nobody else is
The horses to look out for in Lightweight Handicap Races are those whose
overall form shows that they are capable of winning, regardless of the class of
race in which they compete.
Two or more wins in the form shown in newspapers are often indication of a
possible big win by a low weight. An added bonus is they usually start at big
When making selections, always give preference to a horse that ran recently.
(unless you are using my picks I look for other things to keep them) A horse
that has not raced for several weeks may have suffered some set backs like an
injury or an illness. No matter how good his form was if it is not recent,
chances are the horse will not win.
Give an extra point to an experienced jockey on longer distance races (over a
mile). A jockey's ability assumes greater importance as the distance increases.
In general Apprentices are capable to break a horse fast, which is very good in
sprint races, and the majority of their wins are usually accomplished under
such circumstances. However, in route races ( distance of longer than 1-1/8
miles) Apprentices usually do not fare as well. This is not necessarily because
they are lacking in basic ability, because they are lacking in the experience
needed to properly gauge the pace of a race. An experienced jockey can enable a
front-running sprinter to perform as well in route races.
It is best not to replay your winnings, at least not immediately. If you want
to be in control, you must put back in your pocket some or most of what you
Do your homework before signing up to an online sports book.
Four important things you should look for in a sports book:
1. Are they members of a known Gambling Association?
2. How quick do they pay out?
2. How accessible is their customer service?
4. What happens when there is a dispute?
B E T T I N G - S T R A T E G I E S
(WIN) At odds of 2-1 or higher, bet to win.
(PLACE) At odds below 2-1, bet to place, but not to show.
An underlay is a over bet horse. NEVER BET ON UNDERLAYS!!
Odds higher than they should be, based on horse's chances of winning. Basically
an overlay is an under bet horse. ALWAYS BET ON OVERLAYS YOU THINK HAVE A GOOD
CHANCE TO WIN!!
NOTE: Anytime you like an overlay and underlay, or a good-price horse and
low-price horse in the same race, bet the overlay.
THREE DO'S AND DON'TS IN EXACTA BETTING.
The important point about Exacta wagering (betting horses will finish one-two
in the exact order you bet them) is to use positive strategies that will pay
off better the more frequently you play.
1. Don't bet favorites below 2-1 on top.
2. Don't box pairs of long shots, which means horses at 11-1 or higher. Instead
bet both horses to win.
3. Don't bet baseballs, taking 3 horses and betting every possible combination
to come one-two, total of 6 combinations.
Note: If you bet a low-price favorite on top, do not use the second and third
betting choices on the bottom. If my choices have them go with the higher
odds of my picks.
1. Do bet the favorites on the bottom.
2. Do box pairs of medium-priced horses, such as 8-1 with 6-6.
3. Do bet long shots on top of favorites, but also bet on the longs shot to win.
4. Do make sure you have a two to one ratio with the of what picks your are
HOW TO WAGER ON MY SLECTIONS
If odds are 5/2, 3-1, 7/2, 4-1, 9/2, 5-1, and 6-1, wager to WIN and PLACE. For
every WIN unit ($1 bet) bet three units to place. ~~~ NO SHOW WAGERS ~~~
If odds are 7-1, 8-1, 9-1, 10-1, 11-1 and 12-1, wager to WIN, PLACE and SHOW.
For every WIN unit wager three place units and three show units.
When odds are 13-1 and higher wager two units to place and five units to show
for every win unit bet.